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From GaryPig@aol.com
Subject This Just In.......
Date Mon, 31 May 2004 14:57:40 EDT

[Part 1 text/plain US-ASCII (2.5 kilobytes)] (View Text in a separate window)


.....from  BigO Update No. 321:


WHY BUY CDs AT A STORE?


Here's an article from Computer World which reflects a turning point

in music retailing.  Take note that HMV have just changed chairman and

will close all their US stores by end 2004.


If you are one of the few left running a music store, selling

CD's and DVD's... I would quickly think of another line of business

to get into.  Call it the neutron-bomb effect: In less than a decade,

the aisles of music retailers will be empty.  I predict that online

music sites such as Apple's iTunes, Napster and Sony's Connect will

have drained Virgin Megastores, HMVs and Tower Records of their

customers. (Not to say nothing of the smaller independents).  The big

brick-and-mortar music retailers won't just be empty; they'll be gone

-- along with their shelves, bins and dimwitted sales assistants who

can't direct you to anything other than the latest Britney Spears CD.

The success of Apple's iPod, which plays Internet-downloaded music,

demonstrates how the world of traditional retailing is colliding with

digital technology.  With recommendation engines, shared playlists and

downloadable samples all at a consumer's fingertips, why buy at a

store?


Even big music companies such as Warner, BMG and EMI are

getting into the act, teaming with RealNetworks to start a service

dubbed MusicNet.  But this effort comes with restrictions on what you

can do with the music.  You might want to burn a CD so you can listen

in the car, but the service's protected Real Audio and Windows Media

files chain you to your desktop.  Virtual music should let you take

music anywhere.  And as soon as you go virtual, the economics of

shrink-wrapped CDs begins to look dicey.  A consumer who pays 99 cents

per song at iTunes (soon to be $1.25; the music companies are being

true to form, biting the hand that feeds them) is putting about 65

cents into the pockets of the record companies.  For Apple, the real

money is in selling the iPod.


But for the music industry, the important lesson has been

Apple's demonstration that it doesn't take a music company or a

traditional retailer to rearrange the business model of selling

music.  With the record companies taking two-thirds of the money,

margins for stores are going to get squeezed.  They are already razor

thin, and promotional deals, chargebacks for unsold inventory and

co-op advertising seem ridiculous when a consumer can point, click,

sample and buy.

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